Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Portsmouth
26.6%
Draw
14.7%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Portsmouth
vs
0.66
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).