Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Colchester
27.8%
Draw
29.8%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Colchester
vs
0.97
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).