Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.3%
Zagreb
20.5%
Draw
12.1%
Gorica
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Zagreb
vs
0.87
Gorica
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).