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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Queens Park Rangers
24.7%
Draw
44.3%
Willenhall Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.50

Willenhall Town

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).