Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Monza
29.2%
Draw
32.6%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Monza
vs
1.21
Venezia
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).