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08 Mar 2026 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.3%
Raków Częstochowa
27.4%
Draw
21.4%
Pogoń Szczecin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.93

Pogoń Szczecin

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).