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DHT: 21

29 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Tottenham
29.0%
Draw
25.4%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Tottenham

vs
1.09

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS53.5%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).