Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Göztepe
33.9%
Draw
33.6%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Göztepe
vs
1.23
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.2%
0-0
12.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).