Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.9%
Lens
20.6%
Draw
9.6%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Lens
vs
0.46
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS30.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
2-0
16.8%
0-0
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
2.0%
4-1
2.0%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).