Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.8%
Port Vale
11.9%
Draw
5.3%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Port Vale
vs
0.51
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.0%
3-0
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
4-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
2.5%
5-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).