Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Harrogate
28.3%
Draw
41.5%
Boreham Wood
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Harrogate
vs
1.42
Boreham Wood
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).