Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Alaves
31.8%
Draw
17.8%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Alaves
vs
0.57
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS30.4%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.552.3%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.2%
0-0
17.7%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).