Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Bari
30.4%
Draw
39.5%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Bari
vs
1.28
Reggina
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).