Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Burnley
24.6%
Draw
7.0%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Burnley
vs
0.35
Millwall
Markets
BTTS24.3%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.0%
2-0
18.2%
0-0
14.8%
3-0
9.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
1-2
1.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).