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28 Oct 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Bradford
26.4%
Draw
40.1%
Lincoln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Bradford

vs
1.19

Lincoln

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).