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09 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.1%
Barnet
26.8%
Draw
18.1%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Barnet

vs
0.82

Bromley

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).