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AHT: 12CSV

28 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.8%
Maidstone
20.7%
Draw
68.5%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Maidstone

vs
2.08

Bromley

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.3%
0-1
12.0%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.2%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
2-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).