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DHT: 02CSV

02 Sept 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.2%
Troyes
23.6%
Draw
25.2%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Troyes

vs
0.99

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).