Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Torquay
22.4%
Draw
27.8%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Torquay
vs
1.56
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS70.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
3-0
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).