Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Northampton
29.9%
Draw
29.9%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Northampton
vs
0.88
Notts County
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).