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AHT: 01CSV

29 Nov 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Blackpool
22.6%
Draw
37.9%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Blackpool

vs
1.46

Reading

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).