Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Birmingham
23.1%
Draw
63.7%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Birmingham
vs
1.90
Leeds
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.7%
0-1
12.6%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.5%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).