Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Millwall
31.1%
Draw
19.3%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Millwall
vs
0.71
Charlton
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).