Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Swansea
29.4%
Draw
24.1%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Swansea
vs
0.93
Preston
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).