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26 Jan 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.9%
Crowborough Athletic
26.8%
Draw
21.3%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Crowborough Athletic

vs
0.85

Leganes

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).