Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.6%
Draw
30.1%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.10
Colchester
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).