Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Dresden
25.8%
Draw
40.6%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Dresden
vs
1.64
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).