Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.8%
Monaco
9.0%
Draw
4.2%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
3.06
Monaco
vs
0.54
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.0%
2-0
12.8%
4-0
10.0%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
5-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
1-1
4.3%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
2.5%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).