Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Venezia
26.6%
Draw
19.8%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Venezia
vs
0.93
Lecce
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).