Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.8%
Leicester
19.0%
Draw
71.1%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Leicester
vs
2.38
Man United
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).