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11 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.7%
Shrewsbury
22.7%
Draw
62.6%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Shrewsbury

vs
1.69

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS39.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
3.5%
0-4
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
1-4
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).