Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Celta
22.8%
Draw
52.0%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Celta
vs
1.90
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).