Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.6%
FC Koln
9.1%
Draw
4.3%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
3.53
FC Koln
vs
0.79
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.580.4%
Over 3.562.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.8%
4-0
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-1
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
5-0
6.1%
5-1
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
1-1
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
4-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).