Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Pisa
25.4%
Draw
49.4%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Pisa
vs
1.52
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).