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AHT: 02CSV

18 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.9%
Cambridge
25.9%
Draw
47.2%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Cambridge

vs
1.32

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS42.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.2%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).