Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.9%
Leverkusen
16.1%
Draw
8.0%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Leverkusen
vs
0.71
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).