Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.1%
Toulouse
11.8%
Draw
8.1%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
Toulouse
vs
0.80
Nimes
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
4-0
7.2%
4-1
5.8%
1-1
5.4%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
5-1
3.3%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).