Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Reading
19.8%
Draw
19.1%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Reading
vs
0.98
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).