Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Strasbourg
24.7%
Draw
26.9%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Strasbourg
vs
1.09
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).