Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.4%
Monaco
11.2%
Draw
7.4%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
3.16
Monaco
vs
0.90
Metz
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.577.0%
Over 3.557.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
4-0
7.2%
4-1
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
1-1
4.8%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).