Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Monaco
23.7%
Draw
44.3%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Monaco
vs
1.53
Lens
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).