Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Paris FC
20.4%
Draw
17.0%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Paris FC
vs
0.82
Clermont
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).