Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.1%
Arouca
21.3%
Draw
44.7%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Arouca
vs
2.20
Estoril
Markets
BTTS76.5%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.578.0%
Over 3.559.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-3
5.3%
3-2
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-3
3.4%
1-4
3.0%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).