Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Alessandria
30.2%
Draw
37.4%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Alessandria
vs
1.25
Reggina
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).