Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Red Star
34.2%
Draw
38.0%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Red Star
vs
0.85
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS26.9%
Over 0.579.1%
Over 1.543.8%
Over 2.519.6%
Over 3.56.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.9%
0-1
19.6%
1-0
15.7%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
0-3
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
3-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).