Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Carrarese
30.8%
Draw
28.5%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Carrarese
vs
1.02
Brescia
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).