Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Zaragoza
28.9%
Draw
32.4%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Zaragoza
vs
1.03
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).