Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Dover Athletic
30.1%
Draw
42.1%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Dover Athletic
vs
1.30
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).