Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Spezia
26.3%
Draw
34.4%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Spezia
vs
1.22
Benevento
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).