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01 May 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.4%
Rotherham
21.9%
Draw
66.7%
Middlesbrough

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Rotherham

vs
1.97

Middlesbrough

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.5%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.9%
0-0
7.8%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-0
4.0%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).